Saturday, 17 September 2011
NCAA College Football Picks Week 3
I'll mention that other game last Saturday night with my picks after the jump.
Home Team listed second in CAPS
vs = Neutral Site game
(*) = Line Differential
[*] = National Ranking
 LSU (-3.5) at  Mississippi State
Auburn (+3) at Clemson
 Michigan State (+4.5) at Notre Dame
Tennessee (+9.5) at  Florida
Washington (+16.5) at  Nebraska
 Texas (-3.5) at UCLA
 Arizona State (+1) at Illinois
 Ohio State (+3) at Miami
 Oklahoma (-3) at  Florida State
Utah (+5) at BYU
Chris picks: Mississippi State, Clemson, Michigan State, Florida, Nebraska, Texas, Arizona State, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Utah
I Pick: LSU, Auburn, Notre Dame, Tennessee, Nebraska, Texas, Arizona State, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Utah
LSU is always strong on defense (theoretically) so I was confident they could handle Relf and co., especially on the evidence of last years turnover riddled matchup. Auburn is on the road but I still like them over Clemson who never quite seem to get it together. They're a never-never team much like Michigan State who've started the season hot blowing out Creampuff U and Minnow State. On the other hand they're up against Notre Dame who have screwed me twice in a row now. Last week's debacle in the Big House was bizarre and inexcusable. Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice... Fool me three times? At some point, beating yourself is a trend that ends, right? Right?
I would feel a lot better about my pick of Tennessee to stay within 9 if Bray didn't have his own name tattooed on his back, but I'll still take with my eyes behind my hands. I think they are getting back to level ground for the moment and 9.5 is too much. My friend called the Holiday Bowl, the "Matchup that noone wanted to see", especially Nebraska apparently. Washington has struggled to play rhythmically in their first two games and are ripe for a blow out by a competent team, even one that is disappointing themselves. Texas and UCLA have also flattered to deceive but UCLA are really awful and shouldn't be taken under any circumstances.
The dominating headline of the Ohio State-Miami game are of course the respective scandals. The suspended players for the Buckeyes are still out but it seems as though Miami is getting guys back, including Jacory Harris who has reclaimed the starting QB position. That's enough for me to pick Ohio State - it's a baffling change to make, Harris has always underachieved and the Buckeyes have a good defense. The biggest game of the day starts at 8:00 pm EST in Tallahassee and I like the Sooners to pull away late - it feels like they have a little more big game experience at this point, particularly at the QB position where this is EJ Manuel's first full year starting whereas Landry Jones has been in since he was a freshman. The last game of the day, the Holy War is a tough one. My heart says BYU but my head says Utah. Heaps hasn't picked up the pace at all yet and this would be a tough though appropriate place to start.